LATIDIA · Investigación

Hacia una RED O* para la I + D de IA

Proponer una nueva forma de realizar un seguimiento de la automatización de la investigación de IA

La noticia

This post is part of Epoch AI’s Gradient Updates newsletter, which shares more opinionated or informal takes on big questions in AI progress. These posts solely represent the views of the authors, and do not necessarily reflect the views of Epoch AI as a whole. What trends are we extrapolating? A common way that experts forecast AI timelines is so simple it’s hard to believe : trend extrapolation. Sure they also use numerical models that bake in things like runaway feedback loops, but the bread and butter of AI forecasting is to draw a line on a graph and extend it as far as you dare. Somehow this works well